Tuesday, 31 July 2018

Gold Prices Slip Despite Slightly Weaker Dollar-SapForex24

Gold prices slipped on Tuesday while the U.S. dollar was also slightly weakened against the yen ahead of a monetary policy decision from the Bank of Japan.

Gold futures for August delivery on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange fell by $0.80, or 0.07%, to $1,220.50 a troy ounce.

Meanwhile, the U.S. Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies, fell 0.01% to 94.13 on Tuesday, off a one-year high of 95.656 touched on July 19. 

The Bank of Japan is expected to trim its inflation forecasts later in the day and consider changes to its stimulus program, earlier reports suggested.



Dollar-denominated commodities such as gold are sensitive to moves in the dollar. A fall in the dollar makes the yellow metal cheaper for holders of foreign currency, raising demand. 

Looking ahead, the U.S. Federal Reserve begins its two-day monetary policy meeting later on Tuesday. The central bank is largely expected to stand pat on monetary policy.

The U.S. central bank has raised benchmark lending rates twice this year and markets expected two more hikes by the end of 2018.

Higher U.S. rates tend to push the dollar higher, making greenback-denominated gold more expensive for holders of other currencies.

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Friday, 13 July 2018

Oil Prices Trade Lower Despite Spare Capacity Warning, U.S. Shale Output in Focus-SapForex24

Oil prices headed lower in European morning trade on Friday as concerns about a China-U.S. trade war and the return of Libyan oil to the market offset a warning about a shortage in global crude supplies despite increases in production from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.

New York-traded West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 16 cents or 0.23% to $70.17 a barrel.Meanwhile, Brent crude futures, the benchmark for oil prices outside the U.S., traded down 73 cents or 0.98%, to $73.72.


In other energy trading, gasoline futures fell 0.79% $2.0572 .while heating oil lost 0.81% to $2.1060 a gallon.

Lastly, natural gas futures dipped 0.04% to $2.796 per million British thermal units.

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Friday, 15 June 2018

Dollar loses further ground on the day, EUR/USD pushes past 1.1600-SapForex24

This time it is the dollar weakening across the board. GBP/USD has also posted a high of 1.3292, USD/CHF has fallen to a low of 0.9955 while AUD/USD has pared gains for the day to now close in on session highs at 0.7477.

The dollar index is now at session lows down 0.2% on the day. Even the kiwi and loonie are paring back some losses against the dollar now.


There aren't any headlines crossing the wires to have brought about the change but selling as the dollar index touched above 95.00 again is one of the things that you can point to. Apart from that, there's the trade rhetoric still as reports say that the White House is to issue a second list of tariffs against China. That has also brought US equity futures lower on the day. S&P 500 futures are now trading 0.4% lower.

As for EUR/USD, as long as price sticks near the 1.1600 handle this could still be a level of interest as there are large expiries on the day here. So, let's see how things develop.

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Thursday, 7 June 2018

Crude Oil Price Update – Trade Through $65.96 Will Make $64.22 New Main Bottom-SapForex24

Based on the early price action, the direction of the July WTI futures contract is likely to be determined by trader reaction to $64.92 and $64.77.

Crude oil futures are trading higher shortly after the regular session opening on concerns about a possible steep drop in exports from Venezuela. Offsetting some of this potential supply disruption is surging U.S. production, which hit another record last week, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.




Daily Swing Chart Technical Analysis

The main trend is down according to the daily swing chart. However, traders may be trying to shift momentum to the upside with the formation of the closing price reversal bottom on Tuesday.

The chart pattern was confirmed on Wednesday, but there hasn’t been a follow-through move yet. Crude oil is trading inside yesterday’s wide range which suggests investor indecision and impending volatility.

A trade through $64.22 will negate the chart pattern and signal a resumption of the downtrend. The minor trend changes to up on a trade through $68.67 and the main trend will change up on a move through $72.90.


The market is trying to establish support at a pair of 50% levels at $64.77 to $64.92. Resistance is a Fibonacci level at $66.00, followed by a series of rising 50% levels at $66.45, $67.32 and $68.56.

Daily Swing Chart Technical Forecast

Based on the early price action, the direction of the July WTI futures contract is likely to be determined by trader reaction to $64.92 and $64.77.

A sustained move over $64.92 will indicate the presence of buyers. If this generates enough upside momentum, we could see a move into $66.00, followed by $66.45. The latter is a trigger point for a possible acceleration to the upside with $67.32 the next likely upside target.

A sustained move under $64.77 will signal the presence of sellers. This could drive the market into the minor bottom at $64.22. Look for an acceleration to the downside under the bottom with $63.03 the next target.

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Monday, 4 June 2018

Forex - Euro Gains as Markets Shrug off Trade Concerns-SapForex24

The euro pushed higher on Monday as markets shrugged off concerns over escalating trade tensions as signs of strength in the U.S. economy bolstered risk appetite.
EUR/USD was up 0.24% to 1.1687.

The dollar was a touch lower against the safe haven yen, with USD/JPY edging down to 109.46 from an overnight high of 109.77.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a basket of six major currencies, was down 0.18% to 93.99 after rising 0.22% on Friday.


The pound was little changed against the dollar, with GBP/USD last at 1.3351.

The risk sensitive Australian dollar was higher, with AUD/USD gaining 0.82% to trade at 0.7629, while the New Zealand dollar was also higher, with NZD/USD up 0.43% to 0.7012.

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Thursday, 17 May 2018

Gold Prices Reverse Gains, Near 2018 Lows-SapForex24

Gold prices reversed early gains on Thursday, falling back towards the lowest levels since December as a stronger dollar and rising U.S. government bond yields continued to weigh on demand for bullion.

Gold futures for June delivery on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange were down $3.50 or 0.27% to $1,288.00 a troy ounce, off an overnight high of $1,293.70.

The precious metal plumbed a low of $1,285.70 on Wednesday, the weakest level since December 27.

Gold has slumped as expectations of higher U.S. interest rates have pushed up bond yields and the dollar.

Higher Treasury yields can spell weakness for Gold which, like other commodities, offers no yield, while a stronger U.S. currency makes dollar denominated gold more expensive for overseas buyers.


The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a basket of six major currencies, was last at 93.21, within close reach of Wednesday’s five month peaks of 93.52. The index is up around 0.93% so far this week.

The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes rose as high as 3.117% overnight, the highest level since 2011. Bond yields move inversely to prices.

Yields have climbing higher since the Federal Reserve said at its May meeting that inflation is moving closer to its 2% target.

The Fed raised rates in March and projected two more rate hikes this year, although many investors see three hikes as possible.

In other metals trading, July silver futures were almost unchanged at $16.37 a troy ounce, while July platinum futures were trading at $889.20, little changed for the day. July copper futures were up 0.24% at $3.078 a pound.

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Thursday, 26 April 2018

Forex - Dollar Steady near 3-1/2 Month Highs-SapForxe24

The dollar was holding steady near three-and-a-half month highs against a basket of the other major currencies on Thursday, supported by higher Treasury yields as the U.S. 10-year bond yield held above the 3% level.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a basket of six major currencies, was trading at 91.02 , within close reach of Wednesday’s highs of 91.04, the most since January 12.

Demand for the dollar continued to be underpinned by rising U.S. yields and the prospect of a faster pace of rate hikes by the Federal Reserve this year.

Expectations of higher interest rates make the dollar more attractive to investors seeking yield. The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes rose above 3% for the first time since 2014 this week, a sign of confidence in the outlook for the U.S. economy.



The dollar eased against the yen, with USD/JPY dipping 0.11% to 109.31 after setting a fresh two-and-a-half month high of 109.46 overnight.

The euro was little changed against the dollar, with EUR/USD last at 1.2167, not far from Wednesday’s two-month trough of 1.2158.

Investors were looking ahead to the European Central Bank’s monetary-policy meeting later Thursday to gauge whether officials are growing more confident on the inflation outlook.

The ECB was expected to keep monetary policy unchanged and indicate that it is still on track to wind up its bond purchasing stimulus program by the end of the year.

The pound was trading at five-week lows, with GBP/USD last at 1.3923, almost unchanged for the day.

The Australian dollar was holding above the previous sessions four month trough, with AUD/USD last at 0.7561.

The New Zealand dollar plumbed fresh four month lows, with NZD/USD sliding 0.14% to 0.7058.

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Friday, 20 April 2018

Forex- U.S. Dollar Rises as Bond Yields Jump-SapForex24

The dollar was higher on Friday as the yield on U.S. Treasury notes rose to February levels and interest rate expectations offset trade war worries.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was up 0.27% to 89.88.


EUR/USD falling 0.30% to 1.2308 as investors worry that the euro zone’s economy is rebounding and the European Central Bank could wait to tighten monetary policy.

Elsewhere, the Australian dollar was lower, with AUD/USD down 0.44% to 0.7694 while NZD/USD decreased 0.69% to 0.7221.

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Friday, 23 March 2018

Oil Prices Rise on Hints of OPEC Extending Production Cuts-SapForex24

Crude Oil WTI Futures gained 0.58% to $64.67 a barrel by 5:37 AM ET (9:37 GMT). Brent crude futures, the benchmark for oil prices outside the U.S., rose 22 cents, or 0.32%, to $69.13 a barrel.


In other energy trading, gasoline futures rose 0.40% at $2.0165 a gallon, while heating oil increased 0.30% to $1.9954 a gallon. Natural gas futures slipped 0.27% to $2.613 per million British thermal units.

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Monday, 12 March 2018

Crude Oil Prices Move Lower as Optimism Fades-SapForex24

The U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude April contract was down 20 cents or about 0.32% at $61.84 a barrel

Brent oil for May delivery on the ICE Futures Exchange in London declined 32 cents or about 0.49% to $65.17 a barrel.


Gasoline futures dropped 0.53% to $1.890 a gallon, while natural gas futures were up 0.11% to $2.735 per million British thermal units.

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Wednesday, 7 March 2018

Gold Prices Edge Higher With All Eyes on U.S. Tariffs-SapForex24

Gold prices edged higher on Thursday, as investors remained cautious ahead of an expected clarification by U.S. President Donald Trump on his proposed tariffs.

Comex gold futures were up 0.11% at $1,329.0 a troy ounce by 0205.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was steady at 89.60, just off Wednesday\'s two-week lows of 89.36.


Gold is sensitive to moves in the dollar. A weaker dollar makes gold less expensive for holders of foreign currency.

Elsewhere on the Comex, silver futures gained 0.34% to $16.56 a troy ounce.

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Wednesday, 31 January 2018

Oil Prices Continue Lower Ahead of EIA Weekly Supply Report-SapForex24

crude futures slumped 44 cents, or 0.7%, to $64.06 a barrel by 3:45AM ET (0845GMT), its lowest level in around a week. On Tuesday, the U.S. benchmark fell $1.06, or 1.6%, to $64.50 a barrel.

Meanwhile, Brent crude futures, the benchmark for oil prices outside the U.S., declined 42 cents, or roughly 0.6%, to $68.10 a barrel, after losing 68 cents, or 1%, a day earlier.

In other energy trading, gasoline futures dropped 0.2% to $1.851 a gallon, while heating oil shed 0.4% to $2.059 a gallon.


Natural gas futures sank 13.5 cents, or 4.3%, to $3.059 per million British thermal units, as updated weather forecasting models called for milder weather, which should dampen demand for the heating fuel.

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Tuesday, 30 January 2018

Gold Prices Continue Lower as Markets Await Fed, Trump-SapForex24

Comex gold futures were down around $6.00, or 0.5%, to $1,334.40 a troy ounce by 3:10AM ET (0810GMT). It fell to a one-week low of $1,332.80 in overnight trade.

Meanwhile, silver futures shed 6.2 cents, or 0.4%, to $17.06 a troy ounce, after tumbling 31.4 cents, or 1.8%, a day earlier.

Gold futures lost 0.9% on Monday as the dollar extended its rebound from a three-year nadir and benchmark Treasury yields cleared their highest level since April 2014.


The dollar continued higher, rising almost 0.3% against a basket of six major currencies to 89.44 in early trade, having pulled up from a low of around 88.25 set last week, its weakest level since December 2014.
In other metals action, palladium prices slumped 1% to $1,072.15 an ounce.

Sister metal platinum meanwhile dropped 1.6% at $996.40 an ounce. March copper shed 0.9% to $3.166 a pound.

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Monday, 29 January 2018

Dollar index holds steady as markets await Trump's speech and Fed-SapForex24

The dollar held above a recent three-year low against a basket of major currencies on Tuesday, with traders turning their attention to U.S. President Donald Trump's State of the Union speech and a Federal Reserve policy meeting for catalysts.

The dollar rose 0.1 percent against a basket of six major currencies to 89.430, having pulled up from a low of around 88.43 set last week, its weakest level since December 2014.

Analysts said a renewed rise in U.S. bond yields this week lent some support to the dollar. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield reached a peak of 2.733 percent in Asian trading on Tuesday, the highest since April 2014, and last stood at 2.712 percent.


The euro eased 0.1 percent to $1.2373, edging away from a three-year high of $1.2538 touched last week.
Trump said on Monday he will address his proposed immigration overhaul in his State of the Union speech as well as his efforts to lower trade barriers around the world for American exports.

The president will also outline his much-anticipated infrastructure plan in the speech.

Against the yen, the dollar eased 0.2 percent to 108.78 yen, edging back in the direction of a 4-1/2 month low of 108.28 yen set on Friday.

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Oil Prices Start the Week Near Recent Highs Amid OPEC Optimism-SapForex24

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures inched up 19 cents, or 0.3%, from their last close to $66.33 a barrel .

The U.S. benchmark reached its best level since Dec. 4, 2014 at $66.66 last Thursday.

Meanwhile, Brent crude futures, the benchmark for oil prices outside the U.S., declined 11 cents, or roughly 0.2%, to $70.04 a barrel. The contract touched $70.78 on Thursday, a level not seen since Dec. 2014.


gasoline futures held steady at $1.925 a gallon, while heating oil shed 0.4% to $2.119 a gallon.

Natural gas futures sank 7.9 cents, or 2.5%, to $3.095 per million British thermal units, as updated weather forecasting models called for milder weather next week.

The commodity soared about 10% last week, as traders reacted to a blast of cold weather which upped demand for the heating fuel.

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Wednesday, 17 January 2018

Gold Prices Back Off 4-Month Highs as Dollar Rebounds-SapForex24

Comex Gold futures were at $1,335.50 a troy ounce by 3:25AM ET (0825GMT), down around $2.00, or 0.1%, from the last session's closing price. It hit the best level since Sept. 8 at $1,345.00 a day earlier.
silver futures were little changed at $17.19 a troy ounce. It reached a three-month high of $17.42 on Monday.

The dollar index, which gauges the U.S. currency against a basket of six major rivals, inched up from a more than three-year low. It was last at 90.38, after dropping as low as 89.98 on Tuesday, its deepest nadir since December 2014.


palladium prices tacked on 0.7% to $1,096.60 an ounce. It marked a record-high of $1,133 on Monday thanks to soaring demand for the auto industry.

Sister metal platinum meanwhile inched up 0.2% to $1,006.40 an ounce, after touching its strongest since Sept. 8 at $1,012.50 in overnight trade.

March copper dipped 0.6% to $3.201 a pound.

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Monday, 15 January 2018

Oil Prices Hold Near 3-Year Highs; U.S. Drilling, OPEC Cuts in Focus - SapForex24

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures tacked on 8 cents to $64.38 a barrel.It rose to its highest since Dec. 2014 at $64.77 last Thursday.

In other energy trading, gasoline futures held steady at $1.847 a gallon, while heating oil was little changed at $2.084 a gallon.


Natural gas futures declined 4.6 cents, or 1.5%, to $3.154 per million British thermal units. It soared nearly 15% last week, after data showed the largest withdrawal on record in U.S. supplies in storage.

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Thursday, 4 January 2018

Forex - Dollar Dips after Fed Minutes, Upbeat U.S. Data-SapForex24

The dollar dipped on Thursday after ending the previous session higher as upbeat U.S. data and the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting helped it recover from recent losses.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, edged down 0.07% to 91.83 by 02:58 AM ET (07:58 AM GMT).

On Tuesday, the index had fallen to three-and-a-half month lows of 91.47.
The euro moved higher, with EUR/USD rising 0.17% to 1.2035 after losing around 0.4% on Wednesday. The single currency had hit a four-month high of 1.2080 on Tuesday, putting it within striking distance of a September peak of 1.2092, its strongest level since early 2015.



The dollar was little changed against the yen, with USD/JPY at 112.54, having pulled up from Tuesday’s two-and-a-half week lows of 112.04.

The pound was steady, with GBP/USD at 1.3520 after sliding 0.57% the previous day to pull back from a three-and-a-half month high of 1.3612.

Meanwhile, the Australian and New Zealand dollars were higher, with AUD/USD rising 0.22% to 0.7852 and NZD/USD adding 0.47% to trade at 0.7123.

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