Forex - Dollar little changed amid fresh U.S. political concerns-SapForex24

The dollar remained moderately lower against other major currencies on Wednesday, amid fresh U.S. political concerns although growing expectations for a June rate hike by the Federal Reserve still lent some support to the greenback.

EUR/USD was steady at 1.0869, close to the six-month high of 1.1021 set on Monday after Emmanuel Macron win in the French presidential election.

ECB President Mario Draghi was scheduled to speak at the Dutch House of Representatives later in the day.

Investors were waiting to see if he adopts a more optimistic tone on the euro-area economy in light of recent upbeat economic reports.

Meanwhile, the greenback weakened after U.S. President Donald Trump abruptly fired FBI Director James Comey.

Comey had been leading his agency's investigation into alleged Russian meddling in the 2016 U.S. presidential campaign and possible collusion with Trump's campaign.

GBP/USD added 0.14% to 1.2955, close to Monday’s eight-month peak of 1.2990.

USD/JPY slipped 0.14% to 113.84, while USD/CHF eased 0.08% to 1.0067.

The Australian and New Zealand dollars were stronger, with AUD/USD up 0.39% at 0.7371 and with NZD/USD advancing 0.49% to trade at 0.6929.

Meanwhile, USD/CAD fell 0.20% to 1.3693.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was steady at 99.43, after hitting a two-week high of 99.56 on Tuesday.

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Oil firms as OPEC floats extended output cut markets still bloated- SapForex24

Oil prices edged up on Friday, lifted by a report that producer club OPEC could extend an output cut aimed at reining in a global fuel supply overhang.
Brent crude futures were trading at $55.77 per barrel at 0750 GMT (2:50 a.m. ET), up 12 cents from their last close.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures, were up 7 cents at $53.43 per barrel.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and other producers including Russia plan to cut output by almost 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd) during the first half of 2017, and estimates suggest compliance by OPEC is around 90 percent.

The cuts are aimed at curbing oversupply that has dogged markets since 2014.

To help rebalance the market, OPEC sources told Reuters that the supply reduction pact could be extended if all major producers showed "effective cooperation".

For now, inventories remain bloated and supplies high, especially in the United States.
Recent price movements reflect this, with Brent and WTI trading within a $5 per barrel price range this year, in what has become the longest and most range-bound period since a price slump began in mid-2014.

"Despite the headlines, the massive inventory glut in both oil and gasoline continues to thwart any upward momentum," said Stephen Innes, senior trader at OANDA in Singapore.

In the United States, rising output has helped push up Crude and fuel stocks to record highs.
In Asia, oil flows into the region remain as high as they were before the production cuts, data in Thomson Reuters Eikon shows, as exporters shield their big customers in a fight for market share.
This comes amid signs of stuttering demand growth in core markets, China and India.

In India, fuel demand growth fell in January, while in China sagging car sales and soaring gasoline and diesel exports also point to a slowdown in growth.

That leaves Europe, where OPEC has significantly cut supplies. However, Eikon data shows rising North Sea oil exports to Asia, indicating there is no real supply shortage there either.
Despite the ongoing glut, analysts expect oil markets to tighten in the longer term.

"In the fourth quarter of 2018, global oil demand will most likely surpass 100 million barrels per day," AB Bernstein said on Friday in a note to clients.

"If oil prices stay around $60 per barrel and GDP growth over 3 percent per annum, then oil demand growth will be stronger over the next 5 years, than the previous decade. What we are witnessing is a rather surprising renaissance of oil consumption," it added.

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Gold climbs towards fresh 4-week high Fed, U.S. election in focus-SapForex24

Gold prices rose towards a fresh four-week high during Europe's session on Tuesday, as investors waited for the outcome of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting, while monitoring increased uncertainty over the upcoming U.S. presidential election.

Gold for December delivery on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange tacked on $7.15, or 0.56%, to $1,280.25 a troy ounce by 3:50AM ET (07:50GMT), within sight of last Friday's four-week high of $1,285.40.

The U.S. central bank is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at the conclusion of its two-day policy meeting on Wednesday but set the stage for a hike in December amid signs the economy is picking up steam.

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Traders are currently pricing in a less than 10% chance of a rate hike this week,For December, odds stood at around 78%.
Meanwhile, investors continued to digest news of further investigation into Democrat Hillary Clinton's email issues by the FBI.

Markets were rattled by news last Friday that the FBI is planning to review more emails related to Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton's private server, just over a week before the election.

The revelation could damage the chances of the Democrat candidate, fueling worries about a surprise election outcome.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was little changed at 98.32 early Tuesday, moving away from last week's nine-month peak of 99.09.

Also on the Comex, silver futures for December delivery rose 17.7 cents, or 0.99%, to $17.97 a troy ounce during morning hours in London, while copper futures rallied 1.1 cents, or 0.5%, to $2.216 a pound.

Activity in China's manufacturing sector expanded at a faster pace than expected in October, two separate surveys showed on Tuesday, adding to views the world's second-largest economy is stabilizing.

China's official manufacturing purchasing managers index increased to 51.2 in October from September's 50.4, the National Bureau of Statistics said. The private Caixin survey also hit 51.2, showing the fastest rate of improvement since March 2011.

Gold slips lower but remains near 2-week high-Sap Forex24

Gold prices slipped lower on Friday, but still remained close to a two-week high as the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting continued to weigh on the greenback.

On the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, gold futures for December delivery were down 0.26% at $1,353.65, not far from the two-week high of $1,355.75 hit overnight.

The December contract ended Thursday’s session 0.62% higher at $1,357.20 an ounce.

Futures were likely to find support at $1,338.60, Wednesday’s low and resistance at $1,360.80, the high from August 5.

Gold slips lower but remains near 2-week high-Sap Forex24

The precious metal lost some ground after data on Thursday showed that initial jobless claims decreased by 4,000 to 262,000 last week, compared to expectations for a 1,000 decline to 265,000.

Separately, the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia said that its manufacturing index rose to 2.0 this month from July’s reading of minus 2.9, in line with the consensus estimate.

But sentiment on the greenback remained vulnerable after the minutes of the Fed’s July policy meeting released on Wednesday showed that policymakers were still divided over the need to raise interest rates this year.

Gold is sensitive to moves in U.S. rates. A gradual path to higher rates is seen as less of a threat to gold prices than a swift series of increases.

Elsewhere in metals trading, silver futures for September delivery dropped 0.52% at $19.638 a troy ounce, while copper futures for September delivery rose 0.21% to $2.172 a pound.

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