Goldman says global crude stocks likely to keep falling- SapForex24

Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) expects global crude oil inventories to keep falling due to production cuts and strong growth in demand, although stocks are likely to rise in the United States.

"We do not view the recent U.S. builds as derailing our forecast for a gradual draw in inventories, with in fact the rest of the world already showing signs of tightness," analysts at the bank said in a note dated Feb. 21.

"Given our unchanged 1.5 million barrels per day growth forecast for 2017, this higher base demand level should fully offset higher U.S. output."

The Wall Street bank reiterated its forecast for Brent and U.S. Crude prices to rise to $59 and $57.50 per barrel respectively in the second quarter, before dropping to $57 and $55 for the rest of 2017.

Oil prices held near multi-week highs on Wednesday, with the U.S. West Texas Intermediate April crude contract (CLc1) up 18 cents at $54.51 a barrel at 0228 GMT (5:28 a.m. ET), while Brent crude (LCOc1) was up 24 cents at $56.90.

Surging U.S. output has pushed crude and gasoline inventories to record highs, keeping a lid on prices after they climbed following an agreement by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and other producers to cut output by about 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd).

"While the production cuts have so far reached a historically high level of compliance at 90 percent, the rebound in U.S. drilling activity has exceeded even our above consensus expectations," Goldman said.

However, the increase in U.S. drilling points to factors including further improvement in shale productivity and funding for the industry, rather than expectations of an increase in prices, the bank said.

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Oil firms as OPEC floats extended output cut markets still bloated- SapForex24

Oil prices edged up on Friday, lifted by a report that producer club OPEC could extend an output cut aimed at reining in a global fuel supply overhang.
Brent crude futures were trading at $55.77 per barrel at 0750 GMT (2:50 a.m. ET), up 12 cents from their last close.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures, were up 7 cents at $53.43 per barrel.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and other producers including Russia plan to cut output by almost 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd) during the first half of 2017, and estimates suggest compliance by OPEC is around 90 percent.

The cuts are aimed at curbing oversupply that has dogged markets since 2014.

To help rebalance the market, OPEC sources told Reuters that the supply reduction pact could be extended if all major producers showed "effective cooperation".

For now, inventories remain bloated and supplies high, especially in the United States.
Recent price movements reflect this, with Brent and WTI trading within a $5 per barrel price range this year, in what has become the longest and most range-bound period since a price slump began in mid-2014.

"Despite the headlines, the massive inventory glut in both oil and gasoline continues to thwart any upward momentum," said Stephen Innes, senior trader at OANDA in Singapore.

In the United States, rising output has helped push up Crude and fuel stocks to record highs.
In Asia, oil flows into the region remain as high as they were before the production cuts, data in Thomson Reuters Eikon shows, as exporters shield their big customers in a fight for market share.
This comes amid signs of stuttering demand growth in core markets, China and India.

In India, fuel demand growth fell in January, while in China sagging car sales and soaring gasoline and diesel exports also point to a slowdown in growth.

That leaves Europe, where OPEC has significantly cut supplies. However, Eikon data shows rising North Sea oil exports to Asia, indicating there is no real supply shortage there either.
Despite the ongoing glut, analysts expect oil markets to tighten in the longer term.

"In the fourth quarter of 2018, global oil demand will most likely surpass 100 million barrels per day," AB Bernstein said on Friday in a note to clients.

"If oil prices stay around $60 per barrel and GDP growth over 3 percent per annum, then oil demand growth will be stronger over the next 5 years, than the previous decade. What we are witnessing is a rather surprising renaissance of oil consumption," it added.

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Trade with a Difference in Comex Markets- SapForex24

There are many traders who try their luck with Comex markets. But not all the traders are successful. Some traders end up collect best profits while some end up in making heavy losses. Thus the trader should trade with a difference from majority of traders. The trader can trade on Comex Gold, Comex Silver, Comex Copper and other precious metals also.

The trader can also trade on Crude oil, Natural gas as well as other petroleum based commodities. The people who are new to the Comex trading and do not have proper knowledge about the Comex Trading Signals can trade by taking help of some international advisory firms. 

Trade with a Difference in Comex Markets-SapForex24

These advisory firms have enough resources in the form of potential technical analysts. These technical analysts do an in-depth technical analysis and generate buy and sell signals. These buy and sell calls are the result of enough technical and fundamental analysis. 

Also the advisory firms provide accurate stop loss levels, so that if the market goes in the opposite direction a limited loss is earn. Thus it is always in the favor of the trader that he trades with the help of Stop Loss. 

SapForex24 is one such international advisory firm which provides accurate comex signal & Forex Signals. The comex trading signals are in the form of buy and sell Signals with proper stop loss levels.

The key to trade in the Comex Market is to forecast the comex signals properly. If the comex trading signals are correctly predict a good profit can be earn from the comex market. Another way beside the technical analysis to predict the Comex Signals is to trade on the basis of national and international news.

The news plays an important part in the direction of the trend. Positive and negative news will have an impact on the directions of the markets. The trader can use the above mentioned methods to trade successfully in the Comex Market.  

Oil stuck in familiar range as investors await U.S. supply data -sapforex24

Oil prices were little changed during European morning hours on Wednesday, holding in a familiar trading range as market players awaited fresh weekly information on U.S. stockpiles of crude and refined products.

Crude oil for March delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange inched up 6 cents, or around 0.1%, to $52.86 a barrel by 4:10AM ET (09:10GMT), after gaining 18 cents, or about 0.3%, a day earlier.

Elsewhere, Brent oil for April delivery on the ICE Futures Exchange in London added 3 cents, or less than 0.1%, to $55.60 a barrel. Futures rose 26 cents, or nearly 0.5%, on Tuesday.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration will release its weekly report on oil supplies at 10:30AM ET (15:30GMT) Wednesday, amid analyst expectations for a rise of 3.3 million barrels.
Gasoline inventories are expected to rise by 982,000 barrels while stocks of distillates, which include heating oil and diesel, are forecast to fall by 903,000 barrels.

After markets closed Tuesday, the American Petroleum Institute said that U.S. oil inventories rose by 5.8 million barrels in the week ended January 27.

The API report also showed a gain of 2.9 million barrels in gasoline Stocks, while distillate stocks rose 2.3 million barrels.

Futures have been trading in a narrow range around the low-to-mid $50s over the past month as sentiment in oil markets has been torn between expectations of a rebound in U.S. shale production and hopes that oversupply may be curbed by output cuts announced by major global producers.

U.S. drilling activity has risen by more than 6% since mid-2016, taking it back to levels seen in late 2014, when strong U.S. crude output contributed to a collapse in oil prices.

The revival in U.S. drilling has raised concerns that the ongoing rebound in U.S. shale production could derail efforts by other major producers to rebalance global oil supply and demand.

OPEC and non-OPEC countries have made a strong start to lowering their oil output under the first such pact in more than a decade as global producers look to reduce oversupply and support prices.
January 1 marked the official start of the deal agreed by OPEC and non-OPEC member countries such as Russia in November last year to reduce output by almost 1.8 million barrels per day to 32.5 million for the next six months.

The deal, if carried out as planned, should reduce global supply by about 2%.

Elsewhere on Nymex, gasoline futures for March tacked on 0.5 cents, or 0.4%, to $1.559 a gallon, while March heating oil was little changed at $1.631 a gallon.

Natural gas futures for March delivery jumped 7.8 cents, or 2.5%, to $3.195 per million British thermal units.

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Gold pulls back from 2-month high as dollar rebounds | SAPFOREX24

Gold prices edged lower during European morning trade on Tuesday, pulling back from the prior session's two-month peak as the dollar firmed after earlier losses.

Gold for February delivery on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange dipped $2.00, or around 0.2%, to $1,213.55 a troy ounce by 4:10AM ET (09:10GMT), after rallying $10.70, or 0.9%, a day earlier.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was up 0.2% at 100.15, recovering after slumping to a seven-week low of 99.88 earlier.

The dollar sold off after President Donald Trump's nominee for Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said that an "excessively strong" dollar can have negative short-term impacts on the U.S. economy.
Mnuchin is still awaiting confirmation by the Senate, which has yet to schedule a vote.

Prices of the yellow metal jumped to $1,219.40 on Monday, a level not seen since November 22, as the U.S. dollar tumbled amid uncertainty around the economic policies of new U.S. President Donald Trump.

In his latest executive order, Trump signed to formally withdraw the U.S. from the 12-nation Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal, distancing America from its Asian allies.

Trump has also vowed to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) with leaders of Canada and Mexico.

Global financial markets will continue to focus on Trump for further details on his promises of tax reform, infrastructure spending and deregulation, as well as insight regarding policies on China and the domestic economy.

The president vowed “massive” cuts in taxes and said he could reduce regulations by "75% or more" to help businesses create more jobs in the U.S. in a meeting with top executives of U.S. companies at the White House on Monday. Trump also reiterated his pledge to impose a hefty border tax.

Trump plans to meet with automotive executives at the White House on Tuesday.
Also on the Comex, silver futures for March delivery dipped 3.4 cents, or 0.2%, to $17.15 a troy ounce during morning hours in London.

Meanwhile, platinum tacked on 0.6% to $985.35, while palladium added 0.9% to $778.33 an ounce.
Elsewhere in metals trading, copper futures rose 0.6 cents, or about 0.3%, to $2.654 a pound.

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Basic Forex Market concepts for the beginners- SapForex24

The first ones use benefits  of Forex market for exchanging national currency, the latter ones use brokerage services for trading on difference in rates, thus, earning some Money. Brokers give a chance to traders Share in the Forex market and carry out sell or buy transactions using their advantage.

Brokers want to have a license, which gives them entrance to the Forex market. The entrance to Forex is not available for everyone. You Want to be a client of a brokerage in order to get entrance to the market and then, carry out buy or sell trades. All exchange rates of all national currencies at the Forex are rated versus each other.

Desirable features the Forex currency market

Have you ever thought why demand of Forex currency market is increasing every day, entrance great number of investors and traders? The fact is that Forex  Market is a unique place, which is different from other exchanges. Let’s look into Benefits of Forex market.

Liquidity

Liquidity of the currency market is a market’s Benefits to Buy or sell capital quickly. High liquidity of the capital means that is can be sold quickly in the International market. High liquidity of the currency market is based on the following factors:

·         The number of the currency market contributor is very large  most of them are major financial organization, which usually carry out large-scale deals in the Forex market.

·         Forex market does not have hard work schedule, work  24 hours a day. That is why market is active all the time as after the execution of one trading session, the other session just begins.

·         Currency market is a market of exchanges in the national currencies, which also increases liquidity in the Forex market.

 Accessibility

As you know, everyone, who has obtain to Internet can become a Forex trader. You even do not need a computer  now as you can trade just on your mobile phone or other modern devices. Forex market is available and affordable for all!

Margin trading

Margin trading on is a big benefit of the Forex market, as Forex brokers provide leverage to their traders, prepare them to use biggest funds for forex trading, than they have present. Trader’s profit depends on the volume of a transaction. The higher is the volume of the deal, the higher is your profit.

Low deposits

You do not require to have a fortune in order to trade at Forex Market. You can start just having $100, gradually increasing trading volume by using your profit, which you received from a broker, or you can capture in the trust management accounts and using investors’ funds for trading. You have infinite possibilities.

Oil prices rise as markets eye OPEC, non-OPEC production cuts- SapForex24

Oil prices rose in the first trading hours of 2017, buoyed by hopes that a deal between OPEC and non-OPEC members to cut production, which kicked in on Sunday, will be effective in draining a global supply glut.

International Brent crude oil prices (LCOc1) were up 16 cents, or 0.3 percent, at $56.98 a barrel at 0802 GMT on Tuesday - close to last year's high of $57.89 per barrel, hit on Dec. 12. Oil markets were closed on Monday after the New Year's holiday.

U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) (CLc1) crude oil prices were up 22 cents, or 0.41 percent, at $53.94 a barrel, not far from last year's high of $54.51 reached on Dec. 12.
Jan. 1 marked the official start of the deal agreed by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and non-OPEC member countries such as Russia in November last year to reduce output by almost 1.8 million barrels per day.

Market watchers said January will serve as an indicator for whether the agreement will stick.
"Markets will be looking for anecdotal evidence for production cuts," said Ric Spooner, chief market analyst at Sydney's CMC Markets. "The most likely scenario is OPEC and non-OPEC member countries will be committed to the deal, especially in early stages."

Libya, one of two OPEC member countries exempt from cuts, increased its production to 685,000 barrels per day (bpd) as of Sunday, up from around 600,000 a day in December, according to an official from the National Oil Corporation (NOC).

Elsewhere, non-OPEC Middle Eastern oil producer Oman told customers last week that it will cut its crude term allocation volumes by 5 percent in March.

Non-OPEC member Russia's oil production in December remained unchanged at 11.21 million bpd, still near a 30-year high, but it was preparing to cut output by 300,000 bpd in the first half of 2017 in its contribution to the production cut accord.

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Oil on track for largest annual gain in 7 years ahead of production cut | SapForex24

 U.S. oil prices edged slightly higher in light pre-New Year holiday trade on Friday in an attempt to recover losses caused in the prior session from a surprise build in U.S. crude stockpiles while hopes for 2017's kickoff of the agreement to cut output and a weaker dollar helped support the commodity.
Crude oil for February delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange gained 22 cents, or around 0.4%, to $53.99 a barrel by 4:14AM ET (8:14GMT), after falling 29 cents, or 0.5%, a day earlier.

Elsewhere, Brent oil for March delivery on the ICE Futures Exchange in London rose 29 cents, or 0.5%, to $57.14 a barrel, after the prior session's loss of 8 cents, or 0.14%.
London-traded Brent futures touched a 17-month high of $57.89 earlier this month, amid optimism over planned output cuts by major global oil producers.

Continued profit-taking in the U.S. dollar on Friday also helped support prices. The Dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was down 0.18% at 102.48 by 3:44AM ET (9:44GMT), pulling back from a peak of 103.62 reached on December 20.

A weaker dollar boosts crude as it becomes cheaper for traders purchasing with other currencies.
Oil prices are on track for their biggest annual percentage gain since 2009 on the back of an agreement struck between the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and non-OPEC countries to cut crude production.

OPEC and other producers led by Russia have announced cutbacks of almost 1.8 million barrels per day in oil output starting from January 1, 2017 in an effort to bolster prices and support the market.
Meanwhile, the members of an OPEC and non-OPEC committee formed to monitor the market may meet on January 21-22, according to Kuwaiti oil minister Essam Al-Marzouq, which may give an early indication of compliance with the deal.

Oil prices will gradually rise towards $60 per barrel by the end of 2017, a Reuters’ poll showed on Thursday, with further upside capped by a strong dollar, a likely recovery in U.S. oil output and possible non-compliance by OPEC with agreed cuts.

Investors were also looking ahead to Baker Hughes' rig count data.
The oilfield services provider said last Friday that the number of rigs drilling for oil in the U.S. the previous week increased by 13 to 523, the eighth straight weekly rise and a level not seen in almost a year.

Some analysts have warned that the recent rally in prices could be self-defeating, as it encourages U.S. shale producers to drill more, adding to concerns over a global supply glut.
Elsewhere on Nymex, gasoline futures for February added 0.23% to $1.6793 a gallon, while February heating oil tacked on 0.37%, to $1.7263 a gallon.

Natural gas futures for February delivery slumped 2.0 cents, or 0.53%, to $3.822 per million British thermal units.

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Forex - Dollar little changed ahead of Fed meeting- SapForex24

The dollar fluctuated between small gains and losses the other major currencies on Wednesday as investors stayed on the sidelines ahead of the outcome of the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting later in the day.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was at 101.05, little changed for the day.
The Fed is widely expected to hike rates for the first time in a year, with investors pricing in a 100% chance of an increase, according to federal funds futures tracked Fed Rate Monitor Tool.

We Provide Best Forex Signals-SapForex24

Investors will be focusing on the details of the central banks latest economic forecasts, the first since the U.S presidential election, for indications on the expected pace of rate hikes going forward.
Higher rates typically boost the dollar by making dollar assets more attractive to yield-seeking investors.

The euro was steady, with EUR/USD at 1.0625.
The dollar edged lower against the yen, with USD/JPY dipping to 115.12, holding below Monday’s highs of 116.12, the highest level since February 8.

The pound edged higher, with GBP/USD rising to 1.2672 ahead of the latest U.K. employment report later in the day.

The commodity linked currencies were also little changed, with AUD/USD at 0.7496 and NZD/USD at 0.7210. USD/CAD was trading at 1.3120.

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Oil prices surge, trading volume records smashed as OPEC and Russia agree output cut-SapForex24

An agreement between oil producer club OPEC and Russia to produce less to drain a global glut sent prices soaring in record trading volumes on Thursday, even as analysts warned other producers will likely top up supply.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC)agreed on Wednesday its first oil output reduction since 2008 after de-facto leader Saudi Arabia accepted "a big hit" and dropped a demand that arch-rival Iran also slash output.

The deal also included the group's first coordinated action with non-OPEC member Russia in 15 years. On Thursday Azerbaijan said it was also willing to engage in talks on cuts.

We Provide Best Forex & Comex Market Update-SapForex24

"OPEC has agreed to an historic production cut," analysts at AB Bernstein said. "The cut of 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) was at the upper end of expectations (0.7-1.2 million bpd). An additional cut of 0.6 million bpd from non-OPEC countries could significantly add to what has been announced by OPEC."

The price for Brent crude futures (LCOc1), the international benchmark for oil prices, jumped as much as 13 percent from below $50 on Wednesday and was at $52.10 per barrel at 0806 GMT, although traders pointed out that part of the jump was down to contract roll-over from January to February for Brent's front-month futures.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose back above $50 briefly before easing to $49.63 a barrel at 0806 GMT, though still up 20 cents from its last settlement.
"OPEC has delivered an agreement," said Jason Gammel of U.S. investment bank Jefferies. "Bulls got as much as could be hoped for...For the time being, oil prices have received a huge support."

The development also triggered frenzied trading, with Brent futures trading volumes for February and March, when the supply cut will start to be visible in the market, hitting record volumes.

The second front-month Brent crude futures contract, currently March 2017, traded a record 783,000 lots of 1,000 barrels each on Wednesday, worth around $39 billion and easily beating a previous record of just over 600,000 reached in September. That's more than eight times actual daily global crude oil consumption.

April Brent traded 288,000 lots of 1,000 barrels each, compared with a previous record of 228,7000 lots done in July 2014.

The records also meant that Brent volumes far exceeded trades in U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude futures, which tend to be higher than those for Brent, but which registered only 368,000 and 214,800 lots for March and April, respectively.
DOUBTS REMAIN

Despite the agreed deal, some doubts over the cut remained. "This is an agreement to cap production levels, not export levels," British bank Barclays (LON:BARC) said. "The outcome is consistent with... what OPEC production levels were expected to be in 2017 irrespective of the deal reached."
Meanwhile U.S. bank Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) said that "skepticism remains on individual countries' follow-through (on the cut), which is keeping prices below year-to-date highs (of $53.73 per barrel in October) for now."

Despite the jump in prices, they are still only at September-October levels - when plans for a cut were first announced - and prices are at less than half their mid-2014 levels, when the global glut started.
Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) said in a note following the agreement that it expected oil prices to average just $55 per barrel in the first half of next year.

OPEC produces a third of global oil, or around 33.6 million bpd, and the deal aims to reduce output by 1.2 million bpd from January 2017, similar to January 2016 levels, when prices fell to over 10-year lows amid ballooning oversupply.

Analysts said that the cuts would leave the field open for other producers, especially U.S. shale drillers.

"We do not believe that oil prices can sustainably remain above $55 per barrel, with global production responding first and foremost in the U.S.," Goldman Sachs said.
U.S. crude production has risen by over 3 percent this year to 8.7 million bpd, as its drillers have aggressively slashed costs.

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